Rebels could win Pakistan’s nuke haven
Sunday, July 27th, 2008 | |
Posted by John under: Ishmael, Perplexity
A CRISIS meeting of Pakistan’s new coalition Government has been warned that it could lose control of the North West Frontier Province, which is believed to hold most of its nuclear arsenal.
Ishmael
“And he will be a wild man; his hand will be against every man, and every man’s hand against him; and he shall dwell in the presence of all his brethren.”
—Genesis 16:12
Perplexity
“…upon the earth distress of nations, with perplexity…”
—Luke 21:25
The warning came yesterday from the coalition leader, who, although he is part of the new Government, is regarded as having the closest links to al-Qa’ida and Taliban militants sweeping through the region.
Maulana Fazlur Rehman bluntly told his colleagues: “The North West Frontier province is breaking away from Pakistan. That is what is happening. That is the reality.”
This came just days before new Prime Minister Yousuf Raza Gilani’s scheduled meeting with US President George W. Bush to discuss al-Qa’ida and Taliban sanctuaries in Pakistan.
Reports last night said Maulana Fazlur Rehman, regarded as having unparalleled insight into the mood of the three million tribesmen in the NWFP, and leader of the Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam, was backed in his assessment by members of the coalition Government from the Awami National Party, which rules in the province’s capital, Peshawar.
They, too, told the meeting of jihadi militant advances throughout the province, with their influence extending to most so-called “settled areas”, including Peshawar.
Yesterday, the army was reported to have abruptly ended an operation in the Hangu district, close to Peshawar, after threats by militant leaders.
Maulana Fazlur Rehman and the ANP members blamed the worsening situation on “President (Pervez) Musharraf’s eight-year policy to deal with the issue through the barrel of a gun, and the alliance with America”.
The crisis meeting resolved to pursue dialogue with the jihadis, a policy derided by US and NATO-led forces in Afghanistan.
It also declared itself to be implacably opposed to US or other forces entering Pakistani territory to deal with the growing jihadi militancy.
Analysts in Islamabad believe the warning about the situation in the NWFP will prompt renewed concern about the security of Pakistan’s nuclear arsenal.
US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, speaking in Australia, suggested the restive border region was the source of a surge in Taliban-related violence in Afghanistan, and said Pakistan needed to do more to prevent attacks.
“We understand that it’s difficult, we understand that the North West Frontier area is difficult, but militants cannot be allowed to organise there and to plan there and to engage across the border,” Dr Rice said.
“So, yes, more needs to be done.”
Al-Qa’ida’s operational commander in Afghanistan, a 53-year-old Egyptian named Mustafa Abu al-Yazid, was interviewed on Pakistani television yesterday and claimed the organisation’s strength in Afghanistan was growing so rapidly it would “soon occupy the whole country”.
He claimed that “the morale of our fighters in Afghanistan is very high and they are putting up a tough fight against US troops”.
He also claimed responsibility in the interview for a terrorist attack on the Danish embassy in Islamabad.
The fact of the interview, as much as what he said, is seen as indicating an important new stage in the crisis.
“The bad guys are even popping up and giving television interviews: that’s a reflection of what’s happening,” one foreign diplomat in Islamabad said last night.
A leading think tank warned this week about the Taliban’s use of a media strategy to exaggerate their strength and undermine confidence in the Afghanistan Government.
The International Crisis Group says the administration and its backers must counter this propaganda if they are to defeat an insurgency “that is driving a dangerous wedge between them and the Afghan people”, in a report entitled Taliban Propaganda: Winning the War of Words?
The Taliban now publicise their messages, warnings and claims of battle successes through a website, magazines, DVDs, cassettes, pamphlets, nationalist songs, poems and mobile telephones.
Audacious tactics such as the Kandahar jailbreak last month and the April assassination attempt on President Hamid Karzai show that the intent is to grab attention.
“The result is weakening public support for nation building, even though few actively support the Taliban,” the report says.
It says the international community should also examine its own actions, adding the benefits of military action are outweighed by the alienation they cause.
“The Taliban is not going to be defeated militarily and is impervious to outside criticism,” the ICG says.
“Rather, the legitimacy of its ideas and actions must be challenged more forcefully by theAfghan government and citizens.”
Additional reporting: AFP, AP
Ernest Gregoire says Comment posted on July 27th, 2008
I foresee God’s Law of sewing and reaping is coming into play here.
The US has been pushing Israel to give away His land. Israel is a divided country no thanks to the US, and efforts to the same continue unabated.
I foresee a smuggled nuke or two or more dividing our country. A slow barge going up the Mississippi River explodes in St. Louis; another nuke explodes in New Orleans, and perhaps one more in Chicago and the entire US would be divided in two.
No commerce will take place that utilized this mighty river for the foreseeable future. All grain, steel, and merchandise will suddenly, and without remedy, stop!
There is no alternative to shipping via the Mississippi River. New Orleans is a vital port. The infrastructure for an alternate route does not exist.
The mild recession that the US is going through now will become a world wide depression that would make the 1929 crash look like a Sunday School Picnic.
Pakistani nukes are a very, very big, wild card!